Buehler's Week 14 NFL Picks

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BUEHLER’S WEEK 14 NFL PICKS

Went 9-6 last week, picked the Colts and Seahawks to win, but over stepped on the Saints, Bucs and Giants (to name a few). Abstained from picking the Chiefs-Panthers game that I thought was played erroneously. But I’m picking all 16 games this week. Plenty of playoff hopes hinge on this weekend. So let’s get it done…

Thursday Night Football

Broncos at Raiders

It’s gotten ugly in Oakland. But this is prime-time TV, head coach Dennis Allen lost his father earlier in the week, the Raiders don’t want to be embarrassed at home on Thursday night. Plus McFadden is finally back, he’s rushed for 100+ yards 3 of the 4 past times these teams have played and the Raiders are 9-2 when RunDMC goes off for 100+. So there’s that. But the Broncos have a 7-game winning streak, and Von Miller. Oh, and Peyton Manning. So while I’m hoping for a competitive game, gotta go with the Broncos, 27-14.

Sunday Funday

Rams at Bills

The Rams are coming off an emotional division win over the Niners. They also happen to be the only team in the NFL unbeaten in division play that does not own the division lead. They are 4-0-1 vs the NFC West and an inglorious 1-6 versus the rest of the league. The Bills are tied with the Saints and Lions as the most talented team with a losing record. Bills win. 21-18. 

Falcons at Panthers

The Panthers lost in Kansas City and the Falcons handled the Saints rather easily, but this is NOT an easy game for the Falcons… just kidding. I know the last time these teams met in Atlanta, the Falcons escaped with a 2 point win, but the Panthers are so inconsistent and hosting the Falcons who are catching their stride. Falcons win. 30-21.

Cowboys at Bengals

Love this Bengals team. Last year they snagged a playoff spot by virtue of a weak schedule, this year, behind a beefy defensive line they lead the NFL in sacks and Andy Dalton is making the franchise look good with more touchdowns (23) and fewer interceptions (13) than Romo (19/15). The Cowboys found their running game last week, but against a sad Eagles’ defense. Bengals d-line vs Cowboys o-line is the battle to watch and Bengals get the win. 28-17.

Chiefs at Browns

I’ll say this again. Browns D is decent and the AFC North is far more competitive than the AFC West. So while both teams are division cellar dwellers, the Browns D get the nod at home. If you can, I’ll pick this game. Browns win 16-14. (Incidentally, I picked this score BEFORE I knew these two teams battled to the same score at Arrowhead, but the Chiefs came out on top in 2010. Similar type game, but Browns win.)

Titans at Colts

Colts pulled off the stunning upset of the Lions, proving Luck is needed to win a shootout (sorry, no more puns) and the defense got a necessary stop in the 4th as well. Last time these teams met in Tennessee, we saw a brilliant comeback in overtime with Vick Ballard pulling off an acrobatic goal-line drive to seal the win.  Last time these teams met in Indy, the Colts earned the first victory of last season, breaking the goose egg in the win column after 14 long weeks. Hope this game is that much fun. But I think the Colts win wire-to-wire. 28-21.

Jets at Jaguars

Gosh, to think the Chiefs- Browns game looked like a stinker. Feel like I should wash my hands after typing this. In a game of two franchises in desperate need of reorganization, I give this to the Jags.  The Jets don’t have the defense to keep up with Cecil Shorts III. Read that again. Jags win. 19-17

Bears at Vikings

Adrian Peterson is averaging a gaudy 6.2 yards a carry. And Brian Urlacher won’t be playing and the Vikings are 5-1 at home including quality wins over the Niners, and Detroit. They don’t scare you on paper, especially after Percy Harvin landed on IR, but this team is home for the first time in a month after having a bye week and 2 road games. I’ll take the less-banged up team and AD. Vikings win 24-17.

Chargers at Steelers

Need your team to play better? Great idea, let it leak that your head coach is fired after the season. Lump in the GM and see how the team responds. Look, the Chargers are winless-WINLESS- in the Steel City. Big Ben is back and even if he’s still ailing from his “odd injury” and losing a rib, and even without Ike Taylor in the Steelers secondary, the Chargers are not a team that will gut out a win. They usually try ferociously to miraculously underachieve. Steelers win 28-10.

Eagles at Bucs

The Bucs are a far cry from the 1-3 team that started the season. Now the 4th most prolific offense in the NFL, they’ll exploit the Eagles defense that leaves gaping holes for receivers to cruise into. The question is what will Nick Foles do? The Bucs passing defense is a liability and allowed Manning to explode in the 3rd quarter. Foles is no Manning, but if he can limit over throwing his receivers, and the Eagles balance their attack with Brown, this could be a shootout. Problem is turnovers. Eagles are -18 on the season in TO margin. Bucs are +11. Bucs win 34-21.

Ravens at Redskins.

Fun one. Love this game. Ravens lost to a Steelers team that had no business winning. Redskins beat a Giants team that had every opportunity to win. Griffin has earned the trust of his coaches to make big plays to seal games while the Ravens don’t even trust Ray Rice. Redskins win. 24-21.

Dolphins at 49ers

I don’t think the Niners are a team that any team wants to face after a loss. Niners offensive line got outplayed by the Rams defensive line and they’ll make sure they maul the Dolphins into submission. (spoken like a true fan huh…) Kaepernick gets the start again and we’ll see if the Niners can open some passing lanes for him. I think they can. Niners win. 27-14.

Saints at Giants

Two teams coming off loses. The Saints suffering from the Super Bowl Curse, the Giants defensive line still rocking themselves in the fetal position lamenting RG3 in their division. Giants rebound with that pass rush and Drew Brees starts a new touchdown streak at 1. Giants win 30-28.

Cardinals at Seahawks.

Josh Skelton or Ryan Lindley. Or drive bamboo shoots up your toenails. Feels the same for Cardinal fans. Seahawks have their franchise QB. All five feet ten inches of him. Seahawks win. 18-9.

Sunday Night Football

Lions at Packers

The Lions sure have a lot of talent. If they could manage to use it, they might not blow leads late or fall behind so quickly early. But they do. I trust Rodgers. I know the Packers offensive line isn’t good and I know the Lions’ defense is supposed to be imposing but Andrew Luck carved them up. Rodgers will too. Packers win 35-27

Monday Night Football

Texans at Patriots

Can Monday come soon enough??????? Can’t wait for this one. Since the Giants cracked the Pats code in 2007, the best way to beat the Pats is with a formidable pass rush. The Texans have that. They also have a physical secondary. They can get gashed with big plays and the Pats love to do that. But the Pats haven’t been challenged by a pass rush since their week 6 loss in Seattle. The Texans are 6-0 on the road and have a pretty explosive offense as well. While I give the coaching nod to the Pats, I have to give the talent nod to the Texans, and the win. 21-17.

Another exciting week in front of us! Hard to believe we’re looking at week 14. Even harder to believe how badly my fantasy team has done this year. But that’s why the real games are even that much more important (if I were winning, they wouldn’t be. But I’m not. So they are.)

 

 

Buehler's Week 13 NFL Picks

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BUEHLER’S NFL WEEK 13 PICKS

Went 12-4 last week, but got lucky with the Norving of the Chargers, as they should have won the game against the Ravens and was disappointed by the Bucs inability to go down field in the final possession of the their loss to the Falcons.

It’s hard to watch the Raiders and impossible to keep your eyes off the Colts and Bengals as there’s 3 solid teams vying for 2 AFC Wildcards. 

I may not make the playoffs in “The League Of Shadows in Full Light,” but I can tell you which teams in the NFL will be doing some damage come post season.

Thursday Night Football

Saints at Falcons

Matt Ryan (my fantasy starter) has won 31 of his first 35 home games. But has lost the last 4 meetings to the Saints. New Orleans got thrashed by the Niners last week and want to get that egg off their faces. Matt Ice has a bad game. Saints win 27-21.

Sunday Football Funday

Jags at Bills

The Bills would be a bigger story in the NFL if the Jets hadn’t face planted this season. The Bills were supposed to be one of those surprise teams but ended up being on the receiving end of a surprising number of losses. No surprise the Jags are where they are. Bills at home get the win 28-20.

Seattle at Chicago

The Seahawks know they have to win on the road if they want to make a playoff push and Russell Wilson is as exciting to watch as RG3 without all the hype. The Bears offensive line is vulnerable and while everyone sees Chicago as a playoff contender, I see an older defense and questionable offense. Seahawks win 21-17.

Colts at Detroit

Andrew Luck had a tough time at New England and the game went south quickly. He wasn’t at his best at home against the Bills last week, but the team won with TY Hilton’s return touchdown and reception (also helpful for my failing fantasy team). I see Luck rebounding with one of his best games against a week Lions’ secondary. This week I see both teams throwing a lot, but advantage goes to Indy. They know a playoff spot is on the line and want it. Colts win 35-27.

Vikings at Packers

Always tough to pick against Rodgers rebounding. So I won’t. Minnesota has better lines, fewer injuries, but no Percy Harvin. Packers win. 28-10

Panthers at Chiefs

I’m amending this pick because I don’t think the game should be played. Absolutely terrible tragedy. For the families of those who lost the loved ones, but also for Pioli and Crennel who witnessed a man take his own life. Can’t unsee that. I’d be surprised if they sleep at all for the next week. – I abstain from picking this game.  And shame on the NFL for playing it.

Patriots at Dolphins

Seems like this is the perfect opportunity for something crazy to happen and the Dolphins pull off the impossible… But the Pats have won 5 in a row. Brady in those games: 14 tds, 0 ints. Brady just rolls. Pats win 34-14.

Cardinals at Jets

The Phoenix Suns are offering discounts to fans who don’t have fun at the game. The Jets should do the same. Again, this team is woefully ill prepared to play the style of football its head coach wants to play. The Cardinals lack a quarterback, but at least their defense is studly. Cards in 23-21.

Niners at Rams

As long as they don’t tie, I’m happy. Kidding. I’d likely thrown sharp objects if the Niners don’t win. Kaepernick gets the start and the playbook gets a facelift. Niners win 34-10.

Texans at Titans.

New offensive coordinator for the Titans means mid-season changes as JJ Watt rolls into town. Bad timing. Texans win 38-13.

Bucs at Broncos

The Bucs pass defense is ranked dead last in the NFL, but only the Bears and Giants have more interceptions than the Bucs. Manning has thrown 4 INTs in the last 4 games. The Broncos barely beat the Chargers and the Chiefs and the Bucs are 3-0 against the AFC. Bucs win 28-24.

Steelers at Ravens

Ben’s out. Ravens win. 16-10.

Browns at Raiders

Trent. Richardson. Browns win 35-14.

Bengals at Chargers

It’s getting to a point that Cub fans feel badly for Charger fans. The sufficient Norving of the franchise week in and week out is becoming almost bizarre. Cinci is #2 in the NFL in sacks. The Chargers defensive play makers were beat up last week. It’s going to be a long day for Rivers. Only good news is the game is blacked out in the local market. Bengals win 30-21.

Sunday Night Football

Eagles at Cowboys

The Cowboys are certainly capable of losing this game. There’s no reason they should, but they might. With only a slight inkling they will. Cowboys win 35-21.

Monday Night Football

Giants at Redskins

Bring yourself to Taco De Ojo in La Quinta where we’ll be watching this barnstormer! Can’t wait for this game. Love watching the Skins offense. Love watching Eli struggle, but end up victorious. He’s the best in the NFL as winning ugly. Giants win 31-28.

 

 

 

Buehler's Week 11 NFL Picks

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Week 11 is full of match-ups that could be the fulcrum on which entire franchises are hinged. So with each pick, we can consider a team’s legitimate or illegitimate playoff hopes and whether they’ll be Norved or allowed to flourish…

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Buehler's Week 12 NFL Picks

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Buehler’s Week 12 NFL Picks…

Thanksgiving Day Games:

Texans at Lions

The fact the Jags nearly beat the Texans at home is less important than the fact a team averaging a little over 13 points a game hung 37 points in one game on the Texans at home. The Jags gashed the Texans early with big plays, needing only 4 plays to go 81 yards on each of their first 2 touchdown drives.  That can happen when a new quarterback gets behind center. Still, Matt Schaub won that shoot out and the Texans climbed to 9-1 on the season. While the Lions have far superior big-play weapons than the Jags, the Texans are perfect on the road. Texans win, but close game 35-30.

Redskins at Cowboys

RG3 had his way with the Eagles defense. The Cowboys defense is a porterhouse compared to the White Castle burger defense of the Eagles. Still the Cowboys at home is as good a home field advantage as the Bills in Toronto. Redskins win 27-24.

Patriots at Jets

Sure, the Jets beat the Rams, and Mark Sanchez put up a respectable game in St. Louis. And yes, the Pats needed an extra point and it cost them Rob Gronkowski, but the Jets don’t have the pieces on defense to hang with the Pats like they did a couple years ago. Pats win 42-21.

Sunday Funday

Vikings at Bears

The Bears have won the past 5, with Leslie Frazier, a former DB in the ’85 Bears defense, going 0-3 versus his former team as a head coach. The Vikings begin their gauntlet of a schedule with a loss to the Bears, 21-10.

Raiders at Bengals

This Bengals team is fun to watch. The Raiders are absolutely not. Last time these two teams met, Bruce Gradkowski threw 2 touchdowns in a heroic comeback for the Silver and Black. He now backs up Andy Dalton.  See where I’m going here… Bengals win 32-21.

Steelers at Browns

It’s time to start paying closer attention to this Browns team. They might be 2-8, but as I mentioned last week, this defense is far more advanced than is largely talked about. The Browns have a +1 turnover margin while the Steelers have a -3 turnover margin, a 3rd string quarterback making his first start in almost a year and are on the road. Trent Richardson has rushed for 100+ in the past 3 games, averaging 107.3 in those games. Calling the upset. Browns win 16-10.

Bills at Colts

The Horseshoe let me down last week. I went out on a limb, asserting the potential Colts upset that looked likely after the 1st quarter, but that limb was promptly hacked down, caught by Aqib Talib and returned for a touchdown.  Pats owned the Colts. Bills won’t. This is two big armed quarterbacks going down field. But I trust Luck rebounding. Colts win 35-27.

Titans at Jaguars

Is Chad Henne the solution in Jacksonville? Justin Blackmon thinks so. But the Titans are a peculiar team. You really never know what you’ll get, they’re coming off a bye week after throttling the Dolphins. In a battle for sustained irrelevance in the AFC South, Jags log their second win of the year, 28-20.

Broncos at Chiefs

Broncos losing this game would be absolutely irresponsible.  Broncos win 32-10.

Seahawks at Dolphins

The Hawks are a different team on the road, but it’s not like being at home helps the Dolphins.  Coming off a bye week, Russell Wilson will be prepared and can go into South Beach with every intention of winning. Add Marshawn Lynch and the duo of Irvin and Clemons and you’ve got a tough day for Tannehill. Seahawks win 26-20.

Falcons at Buccaneers

Sure the Dirty Birds have won 6 of the past 7 in this series and sure, the last time they met the Falcons blew up the Bucs 45-24, but the Falcons run defense is ready to be fully exposed by Doug Martin and there aren’t many quarterbacks I enjoy watching launch the ball into another stratosphere like Freeman. Bucs win in a high scoring affair 35-28.

Ravens at Chargers

Seems each week, the Chargers find new ways to get Norved. This week against a Ravens team I don’t have a single reason to believe the Chargers can beat the Ravens, and I’m beginning to wonder if Philip Rivers feels the same way. He handed the game ball over to the refs prematurely last week, made you think he didn’t want anything to do with this offense anymore.  It’s not getting any better in America’s most beautiful city. Ravens win 34-14.

Rams at Cardinals

Cardinals have a good defense. And it was frustrating to watch their efforts evaporate in the Georgia Dome because the franchise doesn’t have a competent signal caller.  And while the Rams are coming off a game in which they were manhandled by the Jets- read THAT again- you hope Cardinal quarterback Ryan Lindley, a 6th round pick out of San Diego State can do enough to help this team win ONE game. They’ve lost every single contest since starting the season 4-0. Time for a Cardinals victory. 20-17.

Niners at Saints

Well, Colin Kaepernick is going to start apparently. But I don’t like it. I like Kaep against the Bears because his running ability can help with an aggressive pass rush, but the Saints secondary is pretty sophisticated and improving week in and week out. He’s young. He’s on the road. He’s likely to throw picks in that environment and there is not a defense on the planet that can stop Drew Brees when he’s given the ball more than his fair share. With the young gun behind center, the Niners will lose. If Alex Smith were playing this game, I’d say Niners win. But he’s not, so they don’t. Saints win 28-10.

Sunday Night Football

Packers at Giants.

After predicting my Niners would lose this weekend, I’m hardly in the mood to predict which of the two teams the Niners might face in an NFC Championship battle might win out in this week 12 matchup. Last time these teams met in New York, the Packers won on a last second field goal in a shootout. I expect plenty of offense in this one, and with the Giants coming off a bye week, a fun Sunday night showdown. And the Giants get the best of the Pack. Giants win 31-28.

Monday Night Football

Panthers at Eagles

Gross. Panthers win. 35-21.

 

 

 

Buehler's Week 10 NFL Picks

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Well, the NFL season is past its midpoint and we’re enjoying some great football. Vegas was hammered last week because the favorites largely won, but some of the upsets, most importantly, the Colts win over the Dolphins, will have reverberating effects into the rest of the season… Let’s see which games this week will do the same.

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